I can handle the first half of the year again after sitting out last year. I will have Picture and Acting up over the next few days. Director I’ll leave out seeing as it usually hews pretty close to the bone of the Picture race. Screenplays are hard to predict until closer to.
This is my least favourite part of the Oscar season… nominations been announced, nothing to do except basically wait for the Oscars… so let’s have fun forecasting NEXT year’s race!
NOTE: IF A FILM IS NOT ON HERE, IT IS NOT LISTED AS A 2011 FILM ON IMDB. AS OF JANUARY 31ST 2011, THIS MEANS THE LIKES OF “AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY”, “WELCOME TO PEOPLE” ET AL. CHANGES IN RELEASE DATES WILL BE TAKEN INTO CONSIDERATION AT THE MID-YEAR EDIT OF THIS DERBY.
BEST PICTURE
FRONTRUNNERS
A Dangerous Method
Albert Nobbs
Beginners
Carnage
Contagion
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Loud
Hugo Cabret
J.Edgar
Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meek’s Cutoff
Moneyball
My Week with Marilyn
On the Road
One Day
Take Shelter
The Deep Blue Sea
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
The Ides of March
The Iron Lady
The Tree of Life
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse
We Bought a Zoo
IN THE RUNNING
50/50
Anonymous
Coriolanus
Detachment
Drive
Jane Eyre
Larry Crowne
Like Crazy
Margin Call
Midnight in Paris
Now
Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Shame
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
The Conspirator
The Eye of the Storm
The Impossible
The Rum Diary
The Whistleblower
We Need to Talk About Kevin
Young Adult
LONGSHOTS
At Swim-Two-Birds
Bernie
Hanna
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Killer Joe
Little Birds
Melancholia
Rampart
Rango
Restless
Straw Dogs
The Details
The Door
The Lincoln Lawyer
The Mill and the Cross
The Sea
The Skin I Live In
This Must Be the Place
Tyrannosaur
W.E.
Warrior
Water for Elephants
Win Win
Winnie
Wuthering Heights
BEST ACTOR
FRONTRUNNERS
George Clooney, in The Descendants
Matt Damon, in We Bought a Zoo
Leonardo DiCaprio, J.Edgar
Michael Fassbender, in A Dangerous Method
Laurence Fishburne, in Contagion
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, in 50/50
Ryan Gosling, in The Ides of March
Tom Hanks, in Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Gary Oldman, in Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Brad Pitt, in Moneyball
Brad Pitt, in The Tree of Life
Sam Riley, in On the Road
John C. Reilly, in Carnage
Michael Shannon, in Take Shelter
IN THE RUNNING
Antonio Banderas, in The Skin I Live In
Steve Carell, in Crazy, Stupid, Love
Johnny Depp, in The Rum Diary
Michael Fassbender, in Shame
Ralph Fiennes, in Coriolanus
Ryan Gosling, in Drive
Tom Hanks, in Larry Crowne
Jeremy Irvine, in War Horse
Tobey Maguire, in The Details
James McAvoy, in The Conspirator
Ewan McGregor, in Beginners
Ewan McGregor, in Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Sean Penn, in This Must Be the Place
Eddie Redmayne, in My Week with Marilyn
Jim Sturgess, in One Day
LONGSHOTS
Jack Black, in Bernie
Michael Fassbender, in At Swim-Two-Birds
Michael Fassbender, in Jane Eyre
Paul Giamatti, in Win Win
Tom Hardy, in Warrior
Woody Harrelson, in Rampart
Tom Hiddleston, in The Deep Blue Sea
Ciarán Hinds, in The Sea
Emile Hirsch, in Killer Joe
Henry Hopper, in Restless
James Howson, in Wuthering Heights
James Marsden, in Straw Dogs
Matthew McConaughey, in Killer Joe
Matthew McConaughey, in The Lincoln Lawyer
Ewan McGregor, in The Impossible
Peter Mullan, in Tyrannosaur
Robert Pattinson, in Water for Elephants
Paul Rudd, in My Idiot Brother
Owen Wilson, in Midnight in Paris
Anton Yelchin, in Like Crazy
BEST ACTRESS
FRONTRUNNERS
Glenn Close, in Albert Nobbs
Keira Knightley, in A Dangerous Method
Rooney Mara, in The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Elizabeth Olsen, in Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep, in The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, in We Need to Talk About Kevin
Charlize Theron, in Young Adult
Rachel Weisz, in The Whistleblower
Michelle Williams, in My Week with Marilyn
IN THE RUNNING
Sandra Bullock, in Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Kirsten Dunst, in Melancholia
Jodie Foster, in Carnage
Anne Hathaway, in One Day
Felicity Jones, in Like Crazy
Helen Mirren, in The Door
Charlotte Rampling, in The Eye of the Storm
Emma Stone, in The Help
Mia Wasikowska, in Jane Eyre
Rachel Weisz, in The Deep Blue Sea
Michelle Williams, in Meek’s Cutoff
Michelle Williams, in Take This Waltz
Robin Wright, in The Conspirator
Michelle Yeoh, in The Lady
LONGSHOTS
Linda Cardellini, in Return
Abbie Cornish, in The Girl
Jennifer Hudson, in Winnie
Anna Kendrick, in 50/50
Keira Knightley, in Last Night
Zoë Kravitz, in Yelling at the Sky
Rachel McAdams, in Midnight in Paris
Carey Mulligan, in Drive
Andrea Riseborough, in W.E.
Julia Roberts, in Larry Crowne
Saoirse Ronan, in Hanna
Kaya Scodelario, in Wuthering Heights
Juno Temple, in Little Birds
Mia Wasikowska, in Restless
Naomi Watts, in The Impossible
Reese Witherspoon, in Water for Elephants
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
FRONTRUNNERS
Kenneth Branagh, in My Week with Marilyn
Nicolas Bro, in War Horse
Jim Broadbent, in The Iron Lady
Matt Damon, in Contagion
Armie Hammer, J.Edgar
John Hawkes, in Martha Marcy May Marlene
Garrett Hedlund, in On the Road
Philip Seymour Hoffman, in The Ides of March
Ben Kingsley, in Hugo Cabret
Jude Law, in Contagion
Viggo Mortensen, in A Dangerous Method
Sean Penn, in The Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer, in Beginners
Christoph Waltz, in Carnage
IN THE RUNNING
Jonah Hill, in Moneyball
Philip Seymour Hoffman, in Moneyball
Ezra Miller, in We Need to Talk About Kevin
Viggo Mortensen, in On the Road
Bill Nighy, in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Patton Oswalt, in Young Adult
Giovanni Ribisi, in The Rum Diary
Kevin Spacey, in Margin Call
David Thewlis, in War Horse
Tom Wilkinson, in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
LONGSHOTS
Niels Arestrup, in War Horse
Simon Russell Beale, in The Deep Blue Sea
Bryan Cranston, in Drive
Colin Farrell, in At Swim-Two-Birds
James Gandolfini, in Detachment
Tom Hardy, in Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Nick Nolte, in Warrior
Geoffrey Rush, in The Eye of the Storm
Christoph Waltz, in Water for Elephants
Patrick Wilson, in Young Adult
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
FRONTRUNNERS
Amy Adams, in On the Road
Jessica Chastain, in The Tree of Life
Marion Cotillard, in Midnight in Paris
Viola Davis, in The Help
Judi Dench, in My Week with Marilyn
Judi Dench, J.Edgar
Maggie Smith, in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Octavia Spencer, in The Help
Marisa Tomei, in The Ides of March
Evan Rachel Wood, in The Ides of March
Shailene Woodley, in The Descendants
Robin Wright, in Moneyball
Kate Winslet, in Carnage
IN THE RUNNING
Jessica Chastain, in Take Shelter
Olivia Colman, in Tyrannosaur
Marion Cotillard, in Contagion
Judi Dench, in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Kirsten Dunst, in On the Road
Romola Garai, in One Day
Amber Heard, in The Rum Diary
Scarlett Johansson, in We Bought a Zoo
Laura Linney, in The Details
Carey Mulligan, in Shame
Vanessa Redgrave, in Anonymous
Mia Wasikowska, in Albert Nobbs
LONGSHOTS
Emily Blunt, in Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Kate Bosworth, in Straw Dogs
Nichola Burley, in Wuthering Heights
Jessica Chastain, in The Help
Patricia Clarkson, in One Day
Abbie Cornish, in W.E.
Sinéad Cusack, in The Sea
Judy Davis, in The Eye of the Storm
Charlotte Gainsbourg, in Melancholia
Martina Gedeck, in The Door
Gina Gershon, in Killer Joe
Shirley MacLaine, in Bernie
Amara Miller, in The Descendants
Julia Ormond, in My Week with Marilyn
Gwyneth Paltrow, in Contagion
Rosamund Pike, in The Sea
Elizabeth Reaser, in Young Adult
Kristin Scott Thomas, in Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Kristen Stewart, in On the Road
Emily Watson, in War Horse
Kate Winslet, in Contagion